There were two significant changes to the stocks listed on the
Dow Jones Industrial Average recently. Historically this benchmark
of just 30 industrial stocks was designed to measure the stock
market in general. Investors could monitor the DOW each day and get
a good indication of how the market was performing. These changes
will go down in history for several reasons.
General Motors declared bankruptcy and was removed from the DJIA
and replaced with Cisco. Therefore we moved away from a
manufacturing company in favor of a technology company. This could
be an indication the make-up of the economy is changing and we are
bringing the indexes back in line.
The second change was removing CitiGroup and replacing with
Traveler’s Insurance. While these both could be considered
financial companies, CitiGroup was removed due to substantial
government intervention. The consideration here was that the
company is largely controlled by the government which could reduce
the free-market trade ability designed for major corporations
making up the indexes.
Investors have argued for years that the DJIA was not a good
indicator of the economy in general since we were no longer only an
industrialized nation. However, long term the 30 stocks on the DOW
have matched the performance of the much larger S&P 500 index
95 percent of the time. Therefore it is important to see the new
changes continue to keep the DOW a good, current benchmark.
One main difference in the two blue chip indexes is that the
DJIA is a price-weighted benchmark, meaning companies carry larger
representation based on the price of the stock. Therefore if IBM is
considered an expensive stock and has a good day, it could move the
DJIA substantially all by itself. In theory, one company would not
be having such a good day if the economy in general were bad,
however it can happen and that is where some of the daily
volatility comes from.
The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) on the other hand is
market value weighted; that is, movements in the prices of stocks
with higher market capitalizations (the share price times the
number of shares outstanding) have a greater effect on the index
than companies with smaller market caps. This is a broader
representation with another 470 stocks in the benchmark. The index
is now float weighted. That is, Standard & Poor's now
calculates the market caps relevant to the index using only the
number of shares available for public trading.
The changes made are a good indication the indexes are monitored
for their relevancy to the economy in general. It will be
interesting to see if more companies are eliminated due to more
government intervention or more recession issues. Some investors
follow the benchmarks to help determine market trends or direction.
However you cannot actually invest in an index, it is merely an
indication of how the major stocks are performing.
Patricia Kummer has been an independent certified financial
planner for 22 years and is president of Kummer Financial
Strategies Inc. at 8871 Ridgeline Blvd. in Highlands Ranch. She is
a financial consultant offering securities through SagePoint
Financial Inc., member FINRA, SIPC, and investment advisory
services through KFS Inc., a registered investment advisor, not
affiliated with SagePoint Financial Inc. She welcomes your
questions at www.kummerfinancial.com.